Looks like the market is softening up even more…
September 4th, 2008ORLANDO
Up in central Florida, the condo market has stalled and the rental market is also in the doldrums. While Orlando’s unemployment rate has stayed at about 4.5 percent—up about 1 percent from 2007—and there is still some job growth of nearly 3,000 positions, occupancy has dropped.
“Orlando had a really tough first quarter, with occupancy sliding from 92.4 percent in March to 91.1 percent in June,” Willett reports. This time last year, the Orlando occupancy rate averaged 94.2 percent.
Stephen St. Clair, an Orlando, Fla.-based vice president with Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services and a director of the firm’s national multihousing group, says, “Vacancy rates as of March 2008 were the highest in nine years. And for the first time in about seven years,” he adds, “rents have decreased. Plus, concessions are back, typically in the form of one to two months free on a 12-month lease.” At least half of all Orlando area rental communities are currently offering concessions, St. Clair and Willett report.
Ongoing apartment construction is a substantial 5,100 units, scheduled to be delivered through June of next year, Willett notes. Current apartment construction levels are at a seven-year high, according to St. Clair. Developments are going up mostly in the area’s southeast and southwest submarkets.
Newer communities offer the area’s one bright spot, with average monthly rents for existing properties one to five years old actually up 2 percent, to $978, since last September, according to St. Clair. And brand new rental communities are commanding average rents of about $1,325, he adds. However, the vacancy rate for communities currently in lease-up (amounting to 2,522 units) is 51 percent.
Overall, three-bedroom units are most popular, St. Clair reports, so it would seem that families are leasing them or that people are doubling up. And the number of condos for rent is growing.
Furthermore, Florida has experienced one of the largest drops seen in renter quality in the second quarter of 2008 versus the second quarter of 2007, according to an analysis of First Advantage SafeRent’s proprietary database of more than 6 million units. Six Florida markets—Miami-Fort Lauderdale, West Palm Beach, Orlando, Tampa-St. Pete, Daytona Beach and Jacksonville—experienced major declines in credit quality of incoming applicants, the company reports. And Orlando experienced the greatest increase in decline rates in the second quarter of 2008, compared to a year ago. - David Hunter










